KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJoAnna Mendoza 79%
Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
8,5 €
Liquidität
6503,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
18.0% / 22.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 14:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Juan Ciscomani22%
Plattformen vergleichen· JoAnna Mendoza
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 83% | — | 2211,5 € | 14.069,3 € | vor 20 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 83% | — | 8,5 € | 6503,3 € | vor 20 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
AZ-06 House Election Winner
4.0 pts3Mon
+4.0pt82.2%
17.8%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
74 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen7318,3 €
24h-Volumen2211,5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for AZ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$102. Juli11T Daten28. Juli
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If the House member sworn in for AZ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.