KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 58%
Marktqualitat
47 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
28,1 €
Liquidität
6327,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
42.0% / 50.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
23. Okt. 23, 21:00 UTC1. Jan. 30, 18:58 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
KalshiWill SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?
KalshiWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
If U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:PACER
- Change as of 5:00 AM ET December 15 2023: The market's terms and conditions note that, "The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event that is encompassed in the Payout Criterion or the first 10:00 AM ET after date." However, the Payout Criterion only encompasses Amazon being found liable for the counts alleged by the FTC, and not just a decision or settlement happening.
- The language will be amended such that expiration, like the last trading date, will happen once claims are settled, regardless of whether Amazon is found liable for the counts alleged.
- This will be done as part of the CFTC's provisions that allow for non-economic changes to contracts, and will be reflected in the rules today, December 15th.
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 96.559,7 €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Courts consider Amazon a monopoly??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 58% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Courts consider Amazon a monopoly? entschieden?
- Courts consider Amazon a monopoly? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Courts consider Amazon a monopoly? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.