GeminiKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2028 5.5%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
174,2 €
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadTrader
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
4. März 26, 11:48 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
NASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiRegeln
NASA lands on the moon?
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.
- Outcome verified from NASA.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa92a4182002340a6ac95acf878f1991f?alt=media&token=8a40042a-95e9-44e9-a6f8-3c358d80cc13&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
SpaceLIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes58.5%
- No41.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 287.643,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 60.203 €
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7-1.0pt93%
- Above 8-12.0pt65%
- Above 9+5.0pt7%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 363.785,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 58.126,2 €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-5.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+6.0pt43%
- Before Mar 1, 202729%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.2pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.1pt99%
- Google+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- 0+1.0pt45.3%
- 1-8.5pt29.5%
- 2-0.5pt17.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für NASA lands on the moon??
- Gemini bewertet Before 2028 mit 6% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird NASA lands on the moon? entschieden?
- NASA lands on the moon? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird NASA lands on the moon? abgerechnet?
- Gemini rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: NASA lands on the moon?