Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Richard Pan 92.8%Margenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
96.0% / 97.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadTrader
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
24. Aug. 26, 12:48 UTC10. Nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will win California House district 48? (CA-48)
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GeminiCalifornia-03 House Winner
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GeminiCalifornia 52 House General Election: voter turnout
KalshiRegeln
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California-06?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in CA-06, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für California-06 House Winner?
- Gemini bewertet Richard Pan mit 93% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird California-06 House Winner entschieden?
- California-06 House Winner soll am 10. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird California-06 House Winner abgerechnet?
- Gemini rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California-06?