Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
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Ja 78%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
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Verwandte Märkte
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Will Yoweri Museveni's son succeed him as President of Uganda?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts whether Yoweri Museveni will remain in office as President of Uganda through the day the 2031 Ugandan presidential election takes place.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official communications from the Government of Uganda and the Electoral Commission of Uganda confirming who holds the presidency and the official date of the 2031 election.
- If Yoweri Museveni remains President of Uganda through the day the 2031 election is held, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If the 2031 election is suspended for political reasons, this market will resolve based on whether Museveni is President of Uganda on February 1, 2031.
- If official sources are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.
