FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
8,000 or above 33.3%Führend unter 6 Optionen
8,000 or above 33.3%Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
4049,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätTrader
38
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsMCHI (iShares MSCI China ETF) will close above 59 on the latest trading day of 2026
Manifold MarketsRobinhood event contracts trading volume in Q3
KalshiWill members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
PolymarketAnyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This set of markets predicts the official closing price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the final regular trading day of 2026 (expected to be December 31, 2026).
- Only one market under this event will resolve to "Yes".
- If the reported value falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, the higher range applies.
- The Primary Designated Source is the official S&P 500 (SPX) closing level for that session as published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, the index's official administrator; the daily "Close" value reported by major financial data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance under "Historical Prices," Bloomberg, Reuters) may be used as a guide.
- If the final trading day's session is shortened (e.g., a holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session is used.
- If no official closing price is published for that session (e.g., a trading halt into the close, system failure, or other disruption), the last valid regular-session on-exchange price is used as the effective close.
