FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 91%
Ja 91%Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
375,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Manifold MarketsWill Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
KalshiMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether Cuba will continue to operate as a one-party state through December 31, 2026.
- For this market, a one-party state means that only a single political party is legally recognized to govern.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Cuban government or constitutional announcements regarding party recognition.
- If Cuba continues to legally recognize only one governing political party through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Partial recognition of opposition parties without genuine legal pluralism may require intent-based judgment by Futuur.