2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOhio 78.7%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juni 26, 08:48 UTC4. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any senate seat this is not a current main target?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
KalshiWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketCuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Each answer the resolves independently from each other.
- Resolves YES for a state, if the party who wins that senate seat controls the 2026 US Senate.
- In the case of a 50-50 tie, this is a republican controlled senate, because of the vice president's tie breaking vote.
- Example: if democrats win Alaska while republicans win Texas, with the end result being a republican controlled senate, then Alaska resolves NO while Texas resolves YES.
- You may add new answers on this market, but do note that non competitive states are discouraged because they will just be equivalent to the default "which party wins senate control" market.
- Update 2026-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For independent candidates (e.g., Nebraska's Dan Osborn):
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Ohio mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control? entschieden?
- 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control? soll am 4. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Each answer the resolves independently from each other.