Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
Jeopolitik
PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No
Sonuçlandı: 1 Kas 2023 06:35
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 100%
Piyasa kalitesi
15 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorPiyasa verileri
122 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Haz 23 13:0931 Eki 23 0:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Kurallar
[From ACX Mini-Grants: Impact Markets]
- This question will resolve to “Yes” if the Institute for the Study of War Map shows that Ukraine has severed the land bridge from Crimea to Russia at any point between June 5 and October 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, "severing the land bridge" is defined as extending the zone of Ukrainian territorial control continuously from Kyiv to any point on the southeastern coastline from Henichesk in the southwest along the Azov Sea northeast to the Russian border (Kerch Strait Bridge not included).
- On the ISW Map, Russian-controlled territory is shaded red.
- Therefore, for this market to resolve to "Yes", there must be territory that includes at least some coastline between Henichesk and the Russian border near Taganrog, which is not colored red on the ISW map.
- For the purposes of this market, if the small strip of land to the south of "Molochnoye Ozera", south of Melitopol, is still red, it would classify as Russia continuing to have a land bridge from Russia, even if Ukraine destroys the bridge which physically connects that territory.