Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
2.6% (24s)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East5g
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık40+ 100%+18.1%7 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
89 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺1,6 Mn
Likidite
₺11 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
11.5% / 11.9%
Spread
3.5%
Orta spread7g Değişim
-1.8%
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce guncellendi
26 Haz 26 21:0131 Tem 26 23:59
Trendler
100%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
30+12%
Platformları karşılaştır· 40+
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
72 • Orta kaliteDar spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺34 Mn
24s Hacim₺399,2 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205evvelsi gün
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205evvelsi gün$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gün önce$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gün önce$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gün önce$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gün önce
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POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gün önce$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gün önce
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gün önceHacim trendi
$33.4k2 Tem25g veri26 Tem
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.