Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: 40+ (100%)
Sonuçlandı: 10 Tem 2026 00:20
Doğrulanmamış sonuç verisi
Bu sonuç çıkarımsaldır veya sağlayıcı düzeyinde sonuç kanıtıyla desteklenmez.
Güncel topluluk tahmini40+ 100%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Haz 26 5:2910 Tem 26 0:20
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
40+100%
60+0%
80+0%
100%
0%
0%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· 40+
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
2.8%5g
+18.1%100%
+2.8%12%
+2.0%8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
89 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺65 Mn
24s Hacim₺1,7 Mn
POLYMARKETPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
72 • Orta kaliteDar spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺34 Mn
24s Hacim₺399,2 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
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This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.