PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: 20-40 (100%)
Doğrulanmamış sonuç verisi
Bu sonuç çıkarımsaldır veya sağlayıcı düzeyinde sonuç kanıtıyla desteklenmez.
Güncel ima edilen olasılık20-40 100%+2.1%5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
72 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺399,2 B
Likidite
₺0
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Dar spread7g Değişim
+16.4%
Piyasa verileri
17 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Haz 26 0:2730 Haz 26 16:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
10-200%
20-40100%
40-601%
60+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· 20-40
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5%5g
+18.1%100%
+3.5%13%
+2.0%8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺65 Mn
24s Hacim₺1,7 Mn
POLYMARKETKurallar
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205evvelsi gün
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205evvelsi gün$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gün önce$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gün önce$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gün önce$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gün önce$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gün önce$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gün önce$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gün önce
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gün önceHacim trendi
$8.4k2 Tem7g veri8 Tem
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This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.