PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: October 31
Sonuçlandı: 8 Eyl 2026 08:35
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
October 31
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
98%
KonsensüsVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
9 Eyl 2026 07:07 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
July 310%
October 31100%
October 31Kazandı
May 31Kaybetti
July 31Kaybetti
August 31Kaybetti
February 28Kaybetti
March 31Kaybetti
April 30Kaybetti
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.