PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSağlayıcı tarafından piyasa piyasa sonuçlandırıldı
Sonuçlandı: 1 Eyl 2026 23:53
Bu etkinliğin tek bir kazananı yok. Sağlayıcı her piyasayı ayrı ayrı sonuçlandırdı; her piyasa kendi sonucunu gösteriyor.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
2 Eyl 2026 13:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
September 30100%
September 30Kazandı
October 31Kazandı
May 31Kaybetti
July 31Kaybetti
February 28Kaybetti
March 31Kaybetti
April 30Kaybetti
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.