PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
1 Eyl 2026 20:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31 9%-6.0pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
42 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺25,8 B
Likidite
₺69,2 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
2
7g Değişim
-6.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli24 Mar 26 0:131 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.313021° N, 36.925497° E in Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.