PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
1 Eyl 2026 20:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31 17%-1.0pt7 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
43 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺482,8
Likidite
₺99,2 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
0.1 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
192
7g Değişim
-0.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli29 Ara 25 22:051 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
0%
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Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Stepnohirsk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Stepnohirsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.