PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 95%-0.1pt
Piyasa kalitesi
79 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺117,1 B
Likidite
₺2,7 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
4.8% / 4.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-1.4 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
29 May 26 13:14 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PolymarketIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
LimitlessWill Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China (People's Republic of China) announces it has established or otherwise de facto establishes an aerial or naval blockade for the territory of Taiwan (Republic of China) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying blockade is: - Prevents the normal ingress or egress of foreign commercial traffic to or from Taiwan Island’s main ports or airports by threat or use of force for ≥ 24 hours. - Covers part or whole of the main island of Taiwan (Formosa). - Is declared and enforced, de facto (e.g., it is established that China is blocking a significant portion of foreign commercial traffic, as described above, by a wide consensus of credible reporting regardless of whether China has issued a statement or not), or China-issued navigation/airspace prohibitions covering Taiwan's main island's approach lanes that are actively enforced so that most foreign commercial access is denied.
- A qualifying blockade is not: - Military or naval exercises or drills (established with warning areas or NOTAMs that do not actively stop third-country ships/aircraft and do not materially deny access). - Purely economic or coercive measures (e.g., sanctions, customs delays, fishing bans, cyber/GPS jamming) without physical interdiction or enforced closure). - Weather/accident-related closures or voluntary rerouting by operators absent PRC enforcement. - Islet-only incidents that do not involve the main island of Taiwan. - Seizure or inspection of a single vessel/aircraft by itself, unless part of an enforced pattern that denies access as defined above.
- The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺57,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt80.2%
- Yes-5.0pt19.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺527,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 3012%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if China (People's Republic of China) announces it has established or otherwise de facto establishes an aerial or naval blockade for the territory of Taiwan (Republic of China) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Futuur.