Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
US PoliticsPolitikaOne-OffJeopolitikMiddle EastRussia / UkraineEurope3ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 95%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺836,1 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
4.6% / 6.1%
Spread
1.5 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+1.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Kas 25 23:12 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, a claimant government, or a consensus of credible global news sources officially confirm that a US ally which did not possess nuclear weapons as of November 12, 2025, possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If a US ally participates in a nuclear sharing agreement that does not include independent control over nuclear weapons, this will not qualify for "Yes" resolution.
- Only full control over an operational nuclear weapon will count.
- Any admission from Israel of the possession of a nuclear weapon will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- For the purposes of this market, a "US ally" is defined as a country that is a member of NATO or a Major Non-NATO Ally (https://www.state.gov/major-non-nato-ally-status/) as of November 12, 2025.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 19 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, a claimant government, or a consensus of credible global news sources officially confirm that a US ally which did not possess nuclear weapons as of November 12, 2025, possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.