PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıCanlı kotasyon yok
8 Eyl 2026 23:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31 6%+0.2pt
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺498,7 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
0.2% / 1.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-1.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
26 May 26 17:03 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Israel military action against Beirut by which date?
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Manifold MarketsUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
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- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla December 31 için 6% fiyatlıyor.
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.