PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
4.1% 30.8%9 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
51 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺5,5 B
Likidite
₺1 Mn
Orta likiditeSpread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Eyl 26 16:35 UTC2 Eki 26 08:30 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Mexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiAustralia unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? · Exactly 4.1% 31%
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺141,1 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺720,4 B
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺591,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺591,8 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes-1.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺165 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺434,4 B
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
Sık sorulan sorular
- September Unemployment Rate için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 4.1% için 31% fiyatlıyor.
- September Unemployment Rate ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- September Unemployment Rate için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ekim 2026.
- September Unemployment Rate nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- September Unemployment Rate başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.