Bu piyasa sonuçlandı: 35%+
Sonuçlandı: 12 Eyl 2026 23:29
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
35%+
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
99%
KonsensüsVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
13 Eyl 2026 14:55 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
35%+97%
40%+0%
45%+3%
50%+4%
55%+2%
35%+Kazandı
40%+Kaybetti
45%+Kaybetti
50%+Kaybetti
55%+Kaybetti
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Grok Model (4.6+) model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If a model first appears on the site but is removed before 12:00 PM ET on the following calendar date, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results.
- A qualifying SpaceXAI model must have “Grok” in its displayed model name and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, grok-4.6-high, grok-4.7-thinking, grok-5, or similar would qualify.
- Models whose displayed name does not include “Grok,” or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as grok-4.1-expert, grok-4.3-heavy, grok-4.5-GA will not qualify.
