Güncel ima edilen olasılık
35%+ 92%+1.4pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺12,7 B
Likidite
₺67 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+17.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Ağu 26 09:01 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketOpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketHighest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Grok Model (4.6+) model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If a model first appears on the site but is removed before 12:00 PM ET on the following calendar date, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results.
- A qualifying SpaceXAI model must have “Grok” in its displayed model name and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, grok-4.6-high, grok-4.7-thinking, grok-5, or similar would qualify.
- Models whose displayed name does not include “Grok,” or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as grok-4.1-expert, grok-4.3-heavy, grok-4.5-GA will not qualify.