Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
4.5 puan (24s)JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East22g
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
September 30 12%-5.0pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
67 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺83,1 B
Likidite
₺3,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
2.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
2
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Eyl 26 21:39 UTC30 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which Israel does not take a qualifying military action against Lebanon that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon.