PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretGüncel ima edilen olasılıkDecember 31 76%-6.5%12 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
73 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺33,5 Mn
Likidite
₺3,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
0.2% / 1.6%
Spread
700.0%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
2 dakika önce guncellendi
Trendler
Seçilen sonuç
December 3176%
İlgili Piyasalar
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
₺240,6 MnDecember 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
₺66,8 MnJuly 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
₺44,7 MnJune 30: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
₺244,5 BEvet: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
₺99 B3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
₺41,5 BBefore July: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHIBu konularda aktif
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region.
- Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).