PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: 25-29
Sonuçlandı: 22 Eki 2026 16:07
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
25-29
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
—
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
23 Eki 2026 13:43 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
25-29100%
20-240%
35-390%
30-341%
40+0%
25-29Kazandı
20-24Kaybetti
30-34Kaybetti
35-39Kaybetti
40+Kaybetti
<20Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiKurallar
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 12, 2026, through October 18, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.