Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 95%+0.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺4 B
Likidite
₺93,6 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
2.0% / 7.2%
Spread
5.2 pt
Geniş spread7g Değişim
-0.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 dakika önce guncellendi
2 Nis 26 19:5431 Ara 26 17:00
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes5%
Platformları karşılaştır· No
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Düşük | 95% | +90pt | ₺4 B | ₺93,6 B | 16 dakika önce | |
 Futuur%88 eşleşme · oto | Düşük | 96% | +91pt | ₺0 | ₺31,1 B | 16 dakika önce | Aç → |
Futuur üzerinde de mevcut
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
5ay
96%
4%
32 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺292,8
24s Hacim₺0
FUTUURKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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$859 Tem7g veri28 Tem
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.