PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
4.2% 30%-0.5pt9 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
58 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺36,4 B
Likidite
₺619,6 B
Orta likiditeSpread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadComments
0
7g Değişim
+5.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
19 dakika önce guncellendi
7 Ağu 26 17:104 Eyl 26 8:30
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
CoinRithm referansı 4.2% 33% · 2 platform · 0 puan bant
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? · Exactly 4.2% 26%
- ForecastEx üzerinde de mevcut — Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026? · No 97%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — August Unemployment Rate · 4.2% 30%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — US unemployment rate — August 2026 · Above 3.7% 95%
Açık piyasalar
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No74%
- Yes-1.0pt26%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺757,1 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺577,9 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺159,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺519,1 B
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺390,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺365,8 B
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%-1.0pt92%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺342,9 B
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Recession this year?
Sık sorulan sorular
- August Unemployment Rate için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 21 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla 4.2% için 30% fiyatlıyor.
- August Unemployment Rate ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- August Unemployment Rate için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Eylül 2026.
- August Unemployment Rate nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- August Unemployment Rate başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi, ForecastEx, Limitless, Futuur.