Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffBilim4yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 71%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Ağu 26 05:31 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves to YES if, while Yuri Oganessian is alive, the International Union of Pure and Applied Chemistry (IUPAC) or the IUPAC/IUPAP Joint Working Party (JWP) officially announces the validation and recognition of the discovery of any new chemical element with an atomic number of 119 or greater.
- The official IUPAC announcement of discovery validation (similar to the historical verifications for elements 113, 115, 117, and 118) will serve as the primary source of truth.
- The market resolves to NO if Yuri Oganessian passes away before such an official announcement of validation is publicly released by IUPAC.
- Informal or unverified claims of synthesis, papers published in peer-reviewed journals without joint IUPAC/IUPAP validation, or temporary placeholder systematic names do not suffice to trigger a "YES" resolution.
- Formal validation from IUPAC/IUPAP is required.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria