Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 73.6%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Ağu 26 08:27 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden live to see Grand Theft Auto 6?
Manifold MarketsWill Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on whether former President Joe Biden is alive at the time of the official opening of his physical presidential library or center.
- YES: Joe Biden is biologically alive on the day of the official grand opening, public opening, or dedication ceremony of the permanent, physical Joseph R. Biden Jr. Presidential Library and Museum (or Presidential Center), expected to be located in Delaware.
- NO: Joe Biden is confirmed deceased prior to the official opening or dedication ceremony of the physical facility.
- Clarifications:
- "Live to see" is defined strictly as being alive; physical presence at the opening ceremony or cognitive awareness is not required.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria