Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 74.2%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 May 25 07:02 UTC1 Oca 00 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Israel still exist in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)
Manifold MarketsWill Alphabet Inc. (Google) or Microsoft or Apple will still exist by 2100
Manifold MarketsWill humanity still exist in 2100?
Manifold MarketsDid Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Manifold Markets💻Which of these apps/websites will still be working at the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsKurallar
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_will_exist_in_the_far_future
- If it only exists in an archival form, historical museum exhibit, or similar, this resolves NO.
- In order to resolve YES it must exist in something like its present function, of being an active information resource.
- This is very subjective, don't bet if you don't trust my judgement.
- Update 2025-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * A major split (with controversy over the real Wikipedia) could resolve YES, but not if it splits too many times.
- If only a relatively small group is allowed to edit Wikipedia (even if it's online and updated), this market will resolve NO.
