Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
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Play-money forecasting platform
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6 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Ağu 23 08:39 UTC1 Oca 85 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a space elevator by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if the following is satisfied:
- A tether from earth to a counterweight beyond geostationary orbit
- Vehicles with capacity to lift over 1,000kg payload to geostationary orbit (presumably bigger but let's make it easy) by traversing the tether
- One successful deployment of such a vehicle and payload
- There was talk about doing this by 2050 (China, Japan), but I suspect that was a little overly optimistic.
- Other markets on manifold predict a start date (at time of writing) of 2069.
