Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 89.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Kas 23 23:26 UTC1 Kas 27 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will we get AGI before August 15th 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of the 1Y return of a small cap ETF (VB) vs. an SP500 ETF (VOO) on August 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as true if such a system is created and publicly announced before August 1st 2027
- Here are markets with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2027
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+11.0pt59.8%
- 202730.8%
- 2026+3.0pt9.3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+8.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.4pt59%
- ChatGPT+2.4pt26.7%
- Gemini+0.3pt5.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺513,3 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt78.4%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12.6%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-2.5pt53%
- 1500+-1.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will we get AGI before August 1st 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Will we get AGI before August 1st 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will we get AGI before August 1st 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Kasım 2027.
- Will we get AGI before August 1st 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.