Will "Was Barack Obama still serving as president i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiToplum ve Kültür3ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 91.1%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Eyl 25 07:12 UTC1 Şub 27 00:00 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Was Barack Obama still serving as president in December? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
