Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 95.1%
Tahminciler
71
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Eyl 25 16:20 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHot war between the US and China by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketUS strike on Colombia by which date?
PolymarketU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
Whether the United States, Guyana, another country, or a civil war, this market resolves Yes if Venezuela is in a new entry on Wikipedia's active conflicts page in the Minor or Major Wars categories by the end of 2026.
- This does not include the existing Colombian-Venezuelan conflict entry.
- Obvious wiki vandalizm doesn't count either, and Venezuela's participation in the conflict must be actively martial to count if they are added as a new beligerent to an existing war.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.