Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 67.7%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Oca 26 16:44 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump or his family benefit financially from US control of Venezuela by end of year?
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PolymarketWill February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Maduro?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the USA controls Venezuela by December 31, 2026. "Control" is defined as the Trump administration's stated objective of running the country until a political transition occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by whether the US maintains effective administrative and military control over Venezuelan territory and governance, as evidenced by:
- Continued US military presence and operational authority in Venezuela
- US direction of Venezuelan government functions and policy
- US control over Venezuelan oil infrastructure and resource extraction
