Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over?
JeopolitikOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 52%
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2
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Ağu 26 10:21 UTC1 Oca 27 03:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at least one Ukrainian drone—including uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) or uncrewed surface vessels (USVs)—impacts, crashes, or explodes on the land territory or within the territorial waters of the Kaliningrad Oblast before the active armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine ends.
- This includes drones that are intercepted or shot down by Russian air defenses but whose debris subsequently crashes on Kaliningrad territory.
- "Before the war is over" is defined as prior to the official implementation of a mutually recognized ceasefire, the signing of a bilateral peace treaty, or the formal conclusion of the active military conflict between Russia and Ukraine as widely reported by credible international consensus.
- If the war concludes without any Ukrainian drone making physical contact with Kaliningrad territory, this market resolves to NO.
- Preemptive measures, such as the declaration of "drone threats," airspace closures, or GPS spoofing, do not qualify as a "hit" unless physical impact or debris contact on Kaliningrad territory is confirmed.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria