Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?
One-OffRusya / UkraynaJeopolitikAvrupa3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 89.9%
Hayır 89.9%Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Oca 24 15:24 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- If currently unoccupied part of the Republic of Cyprus is occupied by the Turkish military forces or by the forces of Northern Cyprus before the market end, then the resolution is YES.
- If occupation is partial, but more than half of the current area (that is not occupied as of 2024-01-02) of the republic is occupied, then the resolution is also YES.
- If the occupation forces are not official military forces of Northern Cyprus and/or Turkey, but they are supplied and/or significantly supported by them, then the resolution is YES (e.g. cases similar to Donetsk/Lugansk Peoples Republics after 2014 would also be considered as occupation by Russia for the purposes of this market).
- Otherwise the resolution is NO.
- Author betting policy