Will Trump’s second presidential term NOT end exactly on January 20, 2029, due to war, emergency, impeachment, or other
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçimJeopolitikRusya / Ukrayna2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 74.6%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
41 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Oca 26 08:22 UTC21 Oca 29 11:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Donald Trump won the 2024 U.S. presidential election and is serving his second presidential term, which under normal constitutional rules should end exactly at 12:00 PM (noon) on January 20, 2029, as defined by the 20th Amendment.
- This market resolves YES if Trump’s second term does not end exactly at that time, for any reason, including the term being extended, shortened, suspended, or otherwise altered.
- In other words, this market asks whether anything abnormal happens to prevent the term from ending exactly on schedule.
- Events that trigger a YES resolution (non-exhaustive)
- Any of the following count as YES, provided they legally affect the term’s end:
- War or armed conflict used to justify continuation or suspension of normal constitutional processes
