Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 92.5%
Tahminciler
40
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Şub 26 22:48 UTC21 Oca 29 12:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
The market resolves YES if Trump awards himself the Medal of Honor while he is in office.
- The market resolves NO if he does not.
- If he stays president after the 20th of January, 2029, I will extend the question's length.
- In his first term, Trump recounted trying to give himself the medal after visiting Iraq but was talked out of it by his advisers.
- Trump has suggested changing the law so he can give himself the Congressional Medal of Honor.
- Edit: If he has someone else award him the medal, I would count that, too
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2029.
- Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The market resolves YES if Trump awards himself the Medal of Honor while he is in office.