Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 69.5%
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5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Eki 23 22:15 UTC21 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketKurallar
Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.
- Current and past presidents who get re-elected don't count.
- Resolves YES if a scandal about sexual impropriety that happened in office comes out that hits many of the major news sources while they're still in office, otherwise NO after their term(s) are finished.
- As this might resolve after their first term if they don't get re-elected, this won't be re-resolved if they go on to serve split terms and have such a scandal in their second unconnected term.
- This question's close date is likely to be extended by future election results.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2029.
- Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.