If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
One-OffABD SiyasetiPolitikaSeçim2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
23 Eki 2026 22:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 82.3%
Tahminciler
403
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Oca 24 04:35 UTC8 Kas 28 06:32 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
Manifold MarketsIf elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
In Ben Shapiro and Destiny's debate, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5I6A2cukme8 Ben Shapiro claim that there is 0% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term US president, while Destiny claim that there's 100% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term.
- Who is right?
- I use a rather broad definition of 'attempt' here.
- Resolves to 'Yes' if there is any attempt by Trump to run for a third term as president.
- This includes public statements, fundraising efforts, or other indications suggesting he is considering a run for a third term.
- Resolves NA if Trump did not become president in 2024