KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Election Day 20%-5.0pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺60
Likidite
₺2,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Eki 25 14:00 UTC7 Kas 28 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.6pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺97,4 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺35,1 Mn
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-31.9pt53.1%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.0pt45.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.4pt93%
- Yes-1.4pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,4 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom14.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺24 Mn
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump run for a third term? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Election Day için 20% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump run for a third term? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump run for a third term? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 7 Kasım 2028.
- Will Trump run for a third term? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.