Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 84.1%
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Ara 23 09:31 UTC1 Oca 31 21:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWorldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?
FutuurElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiKurallar
According to the World Bank estimations, the were 700.6 million people who lived in extreme poverty in Sep. 2023.
- Will this number be cut in half by 2030?
- Will resolve with World Bank data, or other reliable source if World Bank data is unavailable.
- Extreme poverty means 2.15$ in 2017 dollars, PPP adjusted.
- Resolution might be delayed while waiting for available data.
- Link to world back page of poverty: https://pip.worldbank.org/home
Açık piyasalar
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Iran (3+ times)99%
- Renoir99%
- Pardon99%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-1.5pt45%
- 65-89+3.0pt28%
- <40-5.0pt15%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺474,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺418,6 B
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺865,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,7 B
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: According to the World Bank estimations, the were 700.6 million people who lived in extreme poverty in Sep. 2023.