Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 51.6%
Tahminciler
91
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Şub 24 10:41 UTC1 Oca 31 15:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
The outcome is true if by the end of 2030 a public company achieves the market cap of 1 billion dollars while having only one funder and employee.
- Or a one-person private company raises enough money that places it at a valuation above 1B, reported in a reputable news source.
- https://fortune.com/2024/02/04/sam-altman-one-person-unicorn-silicon-valley-founder-myth/
- For the purpose of this market and to ensure that the company is not just a scam,with "enough money" we mean over 10$ million.
- Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Employee is meant in the legal sense.
- External consultants/contractors are allowed and do not count as employees.
Açık piyasalar
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M97%
- $25M94%
- $50M87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+5.0pt54.5%
- 65-89+11.0pt37.6%
- 90-114+2.0pt5%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.5pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.1pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,3 Mn
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The outcome is true if by the end of 2030 a public company achieves the market cap of 1 billion dollars while having only one funder and employee.