Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 66.7%
Tahminciler
31
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Ara 25 17:40 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX deploy an in-house turbine generator to a data center before Boom Supersonic?
Manifold MarketsAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketAI data center in space by ?
FutuurAI data center in space by December 31, 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2031, a space-based data center system meets ALL of:
- Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude)
- Functional compute: Actively processing workloads with data transfer to/from Earth
- Coherent system: Either a single structure or a distributed constellation capable of training a standard distributed transformer model (e.g., data-parallel or tensor-parallel training with gradient synchronization).
- Compute capacity should be no less than a terrestrial 100MW data center running H100s could achieve.
- Scale and duration: ≥100MW average power draw by all equipment necessary for operation of the data center (including GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, and cooling), sustained for ≥30 days continuous operation.
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+57.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 86° to 87°-22.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺35,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺33 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+53.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+2.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,4 Mn
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+89.0pt99%
- 33°C-1.4pt1%
- 25°C or below0%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+74.0pt97.1%
- 23°C-11.0pt2%
- 24°C-0.9pt1%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+70.0pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.9pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above78.8%
- 91° to 92°12.5%
- 89° to 90°4.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 9?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 67% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2031, a space-based data center system meets ALL of: