Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

One-Off1y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 85.4%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

40 dakika önce güncellendi

19 Nis 26 14:41 UTC1 Şub 28 00:00 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will "Only Law Can Prevent Extinction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Will "The state of AI safety in four fake graphs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Will "Announcing the Corrigibility Research Fund" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Will "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Kurallar

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post There are only four skills: design, technical, management and physical is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
The market was initialized to 14%.

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

One-Off1y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 85.4%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

40 dakika önce güncellendi

19 Nis 26 14:41 UTC1 Şub 28 00:00 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will "Only Law Can Prevent Extinction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Will "The state of AI safety in four fake graphs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Will "Announcing the Corrigibility Research Fund" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Will "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets

Kurallar

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post There are only four skills: design, technical, management and physical is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
The market was initialized to 14%.

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Sık sorulan sorular

Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 85% fiyatlıyor.
Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2028.
Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.