Will "The state of AI safety in four fake graphs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffYZ1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85.1%
Tahminciler
1
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Tem 26 19:47 UTC1 Şub 28 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?
KalshiUS-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Manifold MarketsIf AI safety is divided by left/right politics in the next 5 years, will the left be more pro-regulation than the right?
Manifold MarketsWill "Cognitive Security as an AI Safety Cause Area" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsAI safety community successfully advocates for a global AI development slowdown by December 2027
Manifold MarketsU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The state of AI safety in four fake graphs is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.