Will "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
YZOne-Off1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.8%
Tahminciler
1
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
26 Tem 26 17:02 UTC1 Şub 28 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will "Why I Left Google DeepMind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "…but have the weights left the server?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Announcing the Corrigibility Research Fund" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Is Mythos good at cyber because it kept hacki..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade containment; we need more details is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
