Will the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime before 2400?
PolitikaOne-OffJeopolitikSeçimManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 82.6%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Eyl 26 02:18 UTC31 Ara 99 07:30 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2400, the world falls under the control of a global far-right dictatorship.
- To qualify, the following conditions must be met:
- Global Scale: A single unified world government, or a dominant hegemon/coalition of regimes, must exercise sovereign control over at least 80% of the global human population.
- Dictatorship/Autocracy: The governing entity must be a non-democratic autocracy or dictatorship, characterized by a lack of free and fair elections, severely restricted civil liberties, and concentrated executive power.
- This will be determined by the consensus of leading political science databases of the era (historically analogous to the V-Dem Institute or Freedom House).
