Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?
One-OffABD SiyasetiRegülasyon3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 92.1%
Tahminciler
33
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
14 Nis 25 06:21 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Venezuela have a higher incarceration rate in 2028 than it did in 2022?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?
Manifold MarketsWill unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill marijuana be rescheduled?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves upon publication of the 2025 DHS Yearbook of Immigration Statistics, or earlier if official DHS data is available that can reasonably be expected to contain identical data to what will be in the Yearbook:
- https://ohss.dhs.gov/topics/immigration/yearbook
- The US nonimmigrant inadmissibility rate for the purposes of this market is defined as:
- rate = inadmissible / (admissions + inadmissible)
- If this rate is at least three times as high in 2025 as it was in 2024, the market resolves YES.
- Otherwise it resolves NO.