Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 63.8%
Tahminciler
84
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
21 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Şub 24 20:46 UTC8 Kas 29 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsWill the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiKurallar
Political supporters of both 2024 party frontrunners Donald Trump and Joe Biden have claimed the other candidate is undemocratic in one way or another.
- Many have said the outcome of the 2024 election will determine the fate of American democracy.
- I decided to make this question to put this to the test: How likely do we actually think the end of democracy will occur in the next four years?
- I understand this is an extremely contentious topic so I want to be specific about criteria.
- This question will only resolve YES if the following conditions are met:
- The election has to happen.
